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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137418

Bryne VS Raufoss

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 01:01 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
74.74%
Draw
15.13%
Away
10.14%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.2891
Log loss
1.8886

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 01:01 UTC
SHA-256
bd0c4c90d0a8f2a8da47305a6087bf8cb59945b50b28d27634d69c25c2b61dfa

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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