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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137416

hodd VS Ranheim

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 01:01 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.95%
Draw
21.63%
Away
46.42%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9317
Log loss
1.5311

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 01:01 UTC
SHA-256
640266c02d7f272e36313b7a136732c5e445b6cb29a3dbd915a7f4669028176c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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