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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137387

Bokelj VS Buducnost Podgorica

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 01:01 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.17%
Draw
30.05%
Away
33.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7342
Log loss
1.2023

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
14 Oct 2026 · 01:01 UTC
SHA-256
22dc2c598e3d0b86ece5d265a7037919fa58e14ce7b1e7d58ceddd0cbbeef4cf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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