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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137202

FUS Rabat VS Raja Casablanca

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 16:02 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.53%
Draw
31.82%
Away
37.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6998
Log loss
1.1451

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
13 Oct 2026 · 16:02 UTC
SHA-256
177f2a0006f6fa3734ef0eb7411c05896c942f1f32b0e938a0582eef6364a7b2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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