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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137166

Peterhead VS Rangers U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.79%
Draw
21.41%
Away
22.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2933
Log loss
0.5836

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
13 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
SHA-256
68ee1456e4ab88f8a97e48a5ad75b02ad906522d2ed727b53c3144d387e9f9a9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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