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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137141

Sutton Utd VS West Bromwich Albion U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.38%
Draw
22.32%
Away
27.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3706
Log loss
0.6856

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
13 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
SHA-256
c8be3489a9f211249f46b793ded9c6ff857985aa94f7ad111c2ee3f936336128

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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