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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137002

Floriana VS Zabbar St. Patrick

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.94%
Draw
21.90%
Away
14.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
13 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
SHA-256
0fffd2a4c753e8820a1732a6b2bb63d98e19c3cbf16ac6b29a05efb884b145b1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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