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Frozen pre-match forecast · #137000

Viimsi VS Flora II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.50%
Draw
22.13%
Away
25.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9464
Log loss
1.5082

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
13 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
SHA-256
eed6a97b258bac1657d8101e8c45eb36da175186eb5aa8f82bd4a37ab2530b1c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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