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Frozen pre-match forecast · #136981

Grobiņa VS Riga

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
10.39%
Draw
18.87%
Away
70.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
13 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
SHA-256
a374566de2823865a3b14410878388cb0732c7838d4e79583dfb0aeb107d15ba

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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