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Frozen pre-match forecast · #136696

Auxerre VS Le Mans

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 18:01 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 16:15 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.81%
Draw
23.89%
Away
21.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 18:01 UTC
SHA-256
27ee6f05f2250e61f7dc5f6d4006599aea00ac5f689bc1f03af24b12ca62618f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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