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Frozen pre-match forecast · #136495

AFC Eskilstuna VS Stocksund

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 16:02 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
70.36%
Draw
16.47%
Away
13.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1323
Log loss
0.3515

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 16:02 UTC
SHA-256
93709da249ce2cdc4973b1cd037e0d6c2540081f9c9ef538b960ebf58f7524af

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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