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Frozen pre-match forecast · #136433

Fulham W VS Enfield Town W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 14:04 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
74.81%
Draw
13.85%
Away
11.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0955
Log loss
0.2903

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 14:04 UTC
SHA-256
7b77fb555f89eeb9d376d5f12c788ad6db2706c429729bbb98e98b1a89ebcf9c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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