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Frozen pre-match forecast · #136068

Khenchela VS CS Constantine

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 13:01 UTC
Match kickoff
12 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.26%
Draw
30.00%
Away
33.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6101
Log loss
1.0145

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 13:01 UTC
SHA-256
fba99def03532a0e36b2d18bbe70421278e2cd2ced239276657b4c11ee16d06a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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