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Frozen pre-match forecast · #135905

Trenčín II VS MŠK Senec

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 10:02 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 09:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
72.77%
Draw
16.17%
Away
11.06%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.3467
Log loss
2.2018

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 10:02 UTC
SHA-256
312c94b95711dbf65ba700ab7fb3259273ac9ac3a3924b6100c33b77e5a46190

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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