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Frozen pre-match forecast · #13586

Cerdanyola del Vallès VS L'Escala

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.92%
Draw
39.00%
Away
38.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8912
Log loss
1.4732

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
SHA-256
2fc8de366a8b78fafecf8f39ce83321de15967103ee6f25796d922e181d6b6a1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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