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Frozen pre-match forecast · #135816

Korhogo VS US Tchologo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:23 UTC
Match kickoff
12 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.55%
Draw
30.73%
Away
40.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7272
Log loss
1.1799

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:23 UTC
SHA-256
9a48f69a858e41c531b69158ebb2a4a0a2e8f74b7a71fa72cb3e12ccac600bbe

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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