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Frozen pre-match forecast · #135800

Stella VS Yamoussoukro

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:23 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.56%
Draw
31.75%
Away
37.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7013
Log loss
1.1473

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:23 UTC
SHA-256
cc2bb7b62a8a3a80b45bf07cf26220de4e7b1b8cd8ba882f4fe061dc9b0f8519

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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