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Frozen pre-match forecast · #135695

Resistencia VS 12 de Junio VH

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.28%
Draw
27.72%
Away
40.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7866
Log loss
1.2830

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
8883c1cb80de3e4116635603dd8574290d1990b242f58bf222bddaad7ff025de

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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