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Frozen pre-match forecast · #135671

Sporting Ben Arous VS US Tataouine

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.28%
Draw
30.51%
Away
30.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7284
Log loss
1.1871

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
40fa265850943ffc99a1cefe98213157c2b96b0a5c3e8f5fcea0453533a8d4ef

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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