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Frozen pre-match forecast · #135605

Teleghma VS USM Annaba

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.11%
Draw
28.69%
Away
41.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7405
Log loss
1.2003

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
d6e398ec79e6f7c881d03ff7690194553aa6fd66d25d5b2750e4de4435825731

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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