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Frozen pre-match forecast · #135599

Hussein Dey VS El Bayadh

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.48%
Draw
31.32%
Away
33.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6246
Log loss
1.0362

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
8e704aa4162f163149e6556fc8a71b9b518b56b6def59e78ed0ac9004305eb4b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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