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Frozen pre-match forecast · #135527

Bokelj VS Buducnost Podgorica

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.76%
Draw
26.52%
Away
37.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8101
Log loss
1.3273

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
5a8a6c1c2436e5815a38a6635d45ca3fe16e6c8893f38ad8c5caa674606a169b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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