Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #135512

Doqarah VS Al Jazeera

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.33%
Draw
27.18%
Away
47.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.4138
Log loss
0.7447

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
e189582ee9c1900a9b5fc1f1bcb30948bff0d4c231969fd30e8d8c2cced455e3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →