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Frozen pre-match forecast · #135496

Malisheva VS Prishtina

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:21 UTC
Match kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.87%
Draw
22.38%
Away
21.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9619
Log loss
1.4970

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:21 UTC
SHA-256
61fd48fa87231130ba1b5ca34e7fdefe35015dd784f600a6b9ec40213ddd19df

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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