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Frozen pre-match forecast · #135457

Al Nejmeh VS Tadamon Sour

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:21 UTC
Match kickoff
12 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
71.12%
Draw
20.07%
Away
8.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.1524
Log loss
1.6059

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:21 UTC
SHA-256
4850edc43dd7d023db3ae659cc0a58de6eb6d641f613d39a4be9fc359769903e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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