Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #135435

Kissamikos VS AE Neapolis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:21 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.92%
Draw
27.10%
Away
38.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

8 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6620
Log loss
1.0812

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:21 UTC
SHA-256
5cbf5856746f68b7325a1681ac03fccb4474b088c4912f90e9b54c5ce1d9180f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →