Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #135395

Hercílio Luz VS Barra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:21 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.81%
Draw
23.80%
Away
23.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:21 UTC
SHA-256
44cd868822e71e70188b7552497b5b0a300bf59e48d84959322dd1f6ed7b8bfd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →