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Frozen pre-match forecast · #13526

Mladá Boleslav II VS Slovan Liberec II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.21%
Draw
32.29%
Away
20.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4250
Log loss
0.7506

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
SHA-256
c3d546b39e8651d23e41c5b86b071e68d754ebf24421aadd60a7fde1b864b53a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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