Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #135160

Inter de Minas VS Nova Lavras

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.10%
Draw
24.50%
Away
28.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7945
Log loss
1.2588

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
0a2ac266b74aad75420334daa4ad85a9d06a4a0fd33a6b3b9c1f8e7b8aff61d1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →