Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #134909

Bulle VS FC WIL 1900

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.94%
Draw
20.00%
Away
59.07%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2514
Log loss
0.5265

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
6679e2027bf51615257c83531f73dc0c3877e54eea1ae474594264079ccb6ab3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →