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Frozen pre-match forecast · #134785

Osters IF VS Oddevold

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.98%
Draw
24.59%
Away
41.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6680
Log loss
1.0794

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
10ff1f80575d596818c8bcab088e159bc5e3371137a90db792be625365b880e4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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