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Frozen pre-match forecast · #134662

Stockport County VS Bromley

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
76.41%
Draw
15.79%
Away
7.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0867
Log loss
0.2691

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
b0eacbb11c1e2116b06f1ea2eaf430de234f7e945900a020543829a5ad4245bd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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