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Frozen pre-match forecast · #134628

Clyde VS Annan Athletic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.88%
Draw
21.80%
Away
20.32%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2662
Log loss
0.5468

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
b0e904f96ddb2df809c2a5181835ff7b27719d3f01d43fa7ae7e2ad054f40c10

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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