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Frozen pre-match forecast · #134536

Spartak Soběslav VS Nyrsko

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
91.73%
Draw
5.77%
Away
2.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.7301
Log loss
2.8524

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
e995b1dd559997ac2927a5085af3111a3917ffebae6c35b3f9bc3ea8a39c6e34

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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