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Frozen pre-match forecast · #134519

OFK Levski VS Partizan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.50%
Draw
26.93%
Away
27.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4455
Log loss
0.7874

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
e14b80a2f6d7d3519f0e34b790d2361a67914c13d04e95c573b122541261ff97

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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