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Frozen pre-match forecast · #134473

VV Scherpenzeel VS TEC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.39%
Draw
21.59%
Away
25.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9625
Log loss
1.5329

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
89d80d1076c4f059a48a8157c107288a7c822039728c702286a36f436ee41b3a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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