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Frozen pre-match forecast · #134391

Sigma Olomouc VS Slovan Liberec

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.37%
Draw
28.61%
Away
34.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5898
Log loss
0.9843

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
d30135de5845f47c83d5d2e693ea56b39a86e1db675eee0e57114cd598053133

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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