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Frozen pre-match forecast · #134321

Sutjeska Foča VS Potkozarje

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.70%
Draw
28.22%
Away
27.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4588
Log loss
0.8052

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
b12486841150a2bca21b87c3aa070b52187c6387fcecee9e119a975319e317ea

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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