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Frozen pre-match forecast · #134302

Hoek VS Kozakken Boys

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.14%
Draw
23.25%
Away
45.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8940
Log loss
1.4588

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
d08afae82ee93bf27badb2ec3f4c5f0e0a7f340a5a71853b80c1ee0dea20c976

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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