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Frozen pre-match forecast · #134295

Nové Sady VS Břeclav

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
16.42%
Draw
17.60%
Away
65.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.1649
Log loss
1.8068

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
23f62516ea1921aa812b7d7acf61a9a90193b87b79d920707f390bac0a885c05

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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