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Frozen pre-match forecast · #134282

Baník Prievidza VS Spartak Myjava

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.81%
Draw
25.06%
Away
38.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6075
Log loss
0.9994

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
45f9c20afe685b1e1d1d609cba61a05f53921af4a8ed59073145f3c925a2f93a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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