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Frozen pre-match forecast · #134269

Humenné VS Zlaté Moravce

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.54%
Draw
26.93%
Away
43.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7585
Log loss
1.2194

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
b7fa09d97a87ca1f10818d843bccc9185f5d66bca4f1e388a0480b0df86841fa

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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