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Frozen pre-match forecast · #134142

Gjøvik-Lyn VS Oppsal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
73.81%
Draw
15.33%
Away
10.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1039
Log loss
0.3037

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
4101df8764284bcf014e2b7e5d3a31e630ef5a88c9a2d88954b6dafcc4c2d115

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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