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Frozen pre-match forecast · #134117

Chonburi FC VS Prachuap

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.47%
Draw
27.48%
Away
38.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5781
Log loss
0.9663

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
2ca53bed9785d80817e680a027235c48a7a433fb7329a8a980156f846cc39a7f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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