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Frozen pre-match forecast · #133731

Enosis VS ASIL Lysi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.46%
Draw
22.84%
Away
16.71%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2365
Log loss
0.5033

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
2e5cc05274caa1c491926dfd9cfeaf7835cd1eb367b351bece6c4e2654612821

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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