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Frozen pre-match forecast · #133410

Al Jandal VS Al Okhdood

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.30%
Draw
25.41%
Away
41.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8377
Log loss
1.3700

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
5f1cbfd32a76f293f1aa43486f795c455a3daba6386e6bc389e5bf467c2bb8ad

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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