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Frozen pre-match forecast · #133340

Lviv U19 VS Livyi Bereh U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.89%
Draw
25.28%
Away
42.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4924
Log loss
0.8479

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
1a75036cb3175e7e1a5b9087096bd9c8cd84f27295edf2c28db578e3ea9db559

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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