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Frozen pre-match forecast · #133283

Stirling Albion VS Hibernian U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.18%
Draw
20.55%
Away
27.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9779
Log loss
1.5823

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
1a38e28d81154994cd39c41bcd686eec78571defa886bcae10e7b4614390e43e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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