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Frozen pre-match forecast · #133269

Clyde VS Clachnacuddin

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.75%
Draw
19.78%
Away
25.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3088
Log loss
0.6025

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
916a605525b401547b9bdc1e330a414c66c6c4f2373f69fe9b3912e4b3499a37

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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