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Frozen pre-match forecast · #133258

Queen's Park VS Inverness CT

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.86%
Draw
23.74%
Away
58.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0721
Log loss
1.7226

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
51a92753df2abdd8586e31b8ebe64c37110baa5d65c9fb0f7861dedb91823a78

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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